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Victoria vs Queensland, MODC2024-25, Today Match Prediction 27 September 2024

The current prediction is outdated. Please visit TODAY’S MATCH PREDICTIONS page for latest updated tips.
CitiPower Centre Junction Oval, St Kilda, Australia

240/7 in 50.0

4.8 Star

234/10 in 49.5

4.7
SCORECARD

VAC vs QSL Win Probability

VAC 54%
QSL 46%

Toss Winner - Queensland won the toss and choose to bowl first

Victoria beat Queensland by 6 runs

After 14 points separated the teams in last year's tournament, Queensland will be looking to bridge the gap with a win in Melbourne on Friday.

  • Victoria have won the last two Marsh Cup head to heads.
  • Queensland lost their last five games in this tournament last season.
  • From the 2009/10 season onwards, both Victoria and Queensland have won the Marsh Cup twice.

We are backing Victoria to win!

Tournament:  Marsh One Day Cup, 2024-25
Format: odi
Venue: CitiPower Centre Junction Oval, St Kilda, Australia
Toss Prediction: To Bowl
Weather: 11.4°C|Partly cloudy
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Name
SAC
VAC
NSW
TSC
QSL
WAC
M
Won
Lost
Tied
NR
PTs
NRR
7
4
2
0
1
21
0.25
7
4
3
0
0
18
-0.16
7
3
3
0
1
16
0.1
7
3
3
0
0
15
0.13
7
3
3
0
0
11
0.24
7
2
5
0
0
8
-0.48

Although we are still early into this Marsh Cup campaign, it certainly looks like we could be in for a very close season. Victoria got off to a winning start but were pushed hard by Tasmania in a low-scoring contest whereas Queensland can count themselves unfortunate that the weather intervened after they made an impressive showing with the bat.

Neither state have a particularly impressive record in this tournament over the last 15 years but both have a strong mix of youth and experience whilst still missing some international players who are involved in the on-going tour of the UK for Australia.

Last season's head to heads saw contrasting games, both won by Victoria, but by margins of 19 runs and 9 wickets. In a season where the gap between the top and the bottom looks to have narrowed, we are expecting an exciting and close contest on Friday.

RECENT PERFORMANCE

Victoria VAC
W L L L W
VAC

128/6 in 26.5 4.77

MODC2024-25

Victoria won by 4 wickets

TSC

126/10 in 30.1 4.18

VAC

144/10 in 43.0 3.35

WAC

130/10 in 42.1 3.08

TSC

240/10 in 65.3 3.66

VAC

384/10 in 105.1 3.65

NSW

256/3 in 40.5 6.27

VAC

311/10 in 48.4 6.39

VAC

234/7 in 44.1 5.3

SAC

231/9 in 50.0 4.62

Queensland QSL
L L W L L
QSL

144/10 in 48.1 2.99

NSW

133/5 in 28.2 4.69

WAC

310/10 in 102.0 3.04

SSD

Western Australia beat Queensland by 146 runs

QSL

301/10 in 96.1 3.13

SAC

132/10 in 40.3 3.26

QSL

206/3 in 63.3 3.24

SAC

223/5 in 44.1 5.05

QSL

218/10 in 49.4 4.39

QSL

150/10 in 35.3 4.23

TSC

153/5 in 27.0 5.67

HEAD TO HEAD

Last 4 Matches

2
VAC Won
2
QSL Won
0
No Result
VAC
SSD
QSL
300/7 in 128.0
158/10 in 81.5
Show More Show Less
QSL

330/10 in 46.1

VAC

349/6 in 50.0

QSL

501/9 in 152.0

VAC

0/0 in 0.0

QSL

205/10 in 75.2

SSD

Queensland beat Victoria by 10 runs

VAC

0/0 in 0.0

Victoria Preview

Even at 39 years old, Peter Siddle is still a handful to face and he comes into this game after picking up 2/26 in the opening Marsh Cup fixture against Tasmania. However, it was his young bowling team-mate Sam Elliott who was the star in that game, picking up the Player of the Match Award after taking 7/12 and then being at the crease to get the side over the line with 19 not out from 28 balls.

Victoria's middle order did not deliver against Tasmania and that is an area which skipper Will Sutherland will be desperate to see more from his side in this game. Josh Brown and Sam Harper are an explosive opening pair before the more traditional approaches of former internationals Marcus Harris and Peter Handscomb.

Overall, Victoria have plenty of players who can contribute to a win and spinner Todd Murphy will be looking forward to bowling on this pitch.

Victoria Predicted Playing XI:

Josh Brown, Sam Harper (wk), Marcus Harris, Peter Handscomb, Thomas Rogers, Jonathan Merlo, Will Sutherland (c), Sam Elliott, Fergus O'Neill, Todd Murphy, Peter Siddle

Victoria Actual Playing XI:

Sam Harper, Josh Brown, Marcus Harris, Peter Handscomb, Thomas Fraser Rogers, Jonathan Merlo, Will Sutherland, Sam Elliott, Fergus O’Neill, Todd Murphy, Peter Siddle

Queensland Preview

Queensland's batters showed a strong attacking approach in their 16 overs of batting in the reduced overs game which ended as a no-result with Tasmania last week. They hit 128/5 in those overs with international Matt Renshaw impressing at number three with a 36-ball 51. Alongside Renshaw, the opening pair of Ben McDermott and Max Bryant are both accomplished white ball batters and there are also plenty of runs to be had down the order from the likes of Michael Neser at number eight and Mark Steketee at number nine.

With the ball, Queensland have a strong trio of Neser, Steketee alongside the spin of skipper Swepson. However, between them they will only be able to bowl a maximum of 30 overs and there are question marks on the quality of where the other 20 overs will come from!

Queensland Predicted Playing XI:

Ben McDermott (wk), Max Bryant, Matt Renshaw, Lachlan Hearne, Jack Wildermuth, Hogo Burdon, Jack Clayton, Michael Neser, Mark Steketee, Tom Straker, Mitchell Swepson (c)

Queensland Key Players From Previous Game Of Marsh One Day Cup, 2024-25

Batsmen
R
B
4s
6s
SRs
Matt Renshaw
51
36
4
0
141.67
Lachlan Hearne
35
28
3
0
125
Hugo Burdon
11
8
1
0
137.5
Bowlers
O
M
R
W
Econ
Ben McDermott
0.0
0
0
0
0
Max Bryant
0.0
0
0
0
0
Matt Renshaw
0.0
0
0
0
0

Queensland Actual Playing XI:

Ben McDermott, Usman Khawaja, Lachlan Hearne, Jack Clayton, Hugo Burdon, Michael Neser, Matt Renshaw, Jack Wildermuth, Mark Steketee, Mitchell Swepson, Tom Straker

HR
Temp
Rain
W. speed
W. direction
Clouds
00h
13
0 mm.
1.6 k/h
From: S
9%
03h
16
0 mm.
3.56 k/h
From: SSW
0%
06h
17
0 mm.
4 k/h
From: SSW
0%
09h
13
0 mm.
3.26 k/h
From: SE
0%
12h
10
0 mm.
1.74 k/h
From: ENE
0%
15h
8
0 mm.
2.45 k/h
From: NNE
2%
18h
7
0 mm.
3.66 k/h
From: N
2%
21h
8
0 mm.
6.15 k/h
From: N
3%

Weather Conditions

According to the forecast it will be a bright and sunny day in Melbourne, however, the temperature is unlikely to get over 16 degrees across the game. It could also be a little chilly at the start and finish of the match.

VAC vs QSL Pitch Report

The Junction Oval has been synonymous with spinners over the years but with the advent of more attacking batting, it is now more associated with being a strong batting wicket. Whoever bats first will be looking to post a score of 300+ in this game.

Toss: To Bowl

With the sun likely to make the pitch better for batting as the game and day progresses, we predict that both teams will turn up to the Junction Oval wanting to bowl first and take advantage of any early assistance from the pitch.

Neither team will be at full strength for this game but, looking at the two squads, we expect Victoria to be the stronger side. Queensland have not won a game in this tournament since round two of last year's competition so we are predicting a victory for Victoria.

We are backing Victoria to win!

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Author: Thomas P.